Market Report - July 2010
July 27th, 2010After building some sales momentum over the last winter season, sales activity began to slow in April 2010 and continued to fall off for the rest of the second quarter. This reversal in sales activity seems to indicate that the recovery is still fragile and the road ahead, towards a better real estate market, will be a bumpy one.
In terms of statistics, real estate sales in the Cayman Islands were about 4% ahead of 2009, during the first quarter of 2010. Unfortunately, during the second quarter, sales fell off 24% for that quarter, compared to last year. By the end of the first half of this year, sales were 12% behind the same six month period, last year.
The peak year for real estate sales, over the last decade, was 2007. During the first half of 2007, there were a total of 341 real estate sales in the Cayman Islands. This compares to 234 sales in 2010, which represents about 31% less properties sold. If you look at the Seven Mile Beach market, sales are down approximately 64%, this year, compared to 2007.
The uncertainty in the markets and economies of the USA and Europe is causing these investors to pause instead of purchase. It is a double edged sword. They are concerned about their own recovery and how much it will cost them in taxes and other fees, but also do not see much happening in Cayman to give them a sense of urgency to purchase.
So, what is the outlook for real estate sales over the short to long term?
Over the short term, sales will likely continue at a tepid pace into this 2010/2011 winter season. After winter season, providing some of the big projects and developments that have been announced get started, we could see a gradual, steady improvement in sales activity. The caveat to a sustained recovery is expansion locally, while the global economy continues to recover.
This year and early next year will lay the groundwork for the next 5 to 10 years. If we can drive business to the Cayman Islands through the various projects and initiatives that the government has announced, then our real estate market and values will recover. However, this needs to start happening and not just be discussed, as action will speak much louder than words, especially for this particular market.




